Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.052617 0.060002 0.067561 0.075848 0.084646 0.093681 0.103633
2025-10-05 0.044781 0.056055 0.068126 0.081874 0.096973 0.112939 0.130989
2025-10-12 0.035782 0.048976 0.063697 0.081025 0.100584 0.121737 0.146118
2025-10-19 0.030473 0.045123 0.062051 0.082507 0.106084 0.132009 0.162301
2025-10-26 0.025718 0.041252 0.059828 0.082832 0.109847 0.139981 0.175603
2025-11-02 0.022362 0.038662 0.058771 0.084207 0.114547 0.148787 0.189639
2025-11-09 0.019019 0.035683 0.056927 0.084378 0.117623 0.155560 0.201216
2025-11-16 0.015100 0.031447 0.053146 0.081887 0.117295 0.158197 0.207881
2025-11-23 0.011860 0.027732 0.049720 0.079576 0.116969 0.160662 0.214194
2025-11-30 0.010270 0.026266 0.049138 0.080744 0.120777 0.167914 0.225993
2025-12-07 0.009038 0.025199 0.048998 0.082398 0.125120 0.175756 0.238446
2025-12-14 0.008252 0.024763 0.049674 0.085072 0.130696 0.185045 0.252581
2025-12-21 0.006920 0.023286 0.048890 0.085926 0.134178 0.192063 0.264356
2025-12-28 0.007198 0.024785 0.052496 0.092716 0.145223 0.208294 0.287137
2026-01-04 0.005634 0.022572 0.050486 0.091853 0.146517 0.212694 0.295876
2026-01-11 0.004807 0.021647 0.050325 0.093442 0.150891 0.220801 0.308998
2026-01-18 0.003853 0.020241 0.049317 0.093790 0.153619 0.226862 0.319651
2026-01-25 0.003221 0.019413 0.049147 0.095258 0.157761 0.234635 0.332337
2026-02-01 0.002484 0.018111 0.048113 0.095441 0.160181 0.240251 0.342402
2026-02-08 0.001534 0.015785 0.045188 0.092781 0.158760 0.241022 0.346543
2026-02-15 0.000846 0.013714 0.042489 0.090310 0.157492 0.241909 0.350762
2026-02-22 0.000604 0.013113 0.042336 0.091559 0.161166 0.248965 0.362465
2026-03-01 0.000441 0.012727 0.042543 0.093327 0.165527 0.256878 0.375212